T
TonyB
Guest
Okay. The 4 trillion plus Nextel Cup scenarios scared me off from even trying to lay those out, but the Truck Series is a little less complicated. So here are the championship scenarios for the CTS headed into Homestead.
Carl Edwards
* As soon as Bobby Hamilton takes the green flag to start the race, Carl Edwards will be eliminated from championship contention.
Ted Musgrave
* The only way Ted Musgrave can win the championship is if Bobby Hamilton finishes 36th without leading a lap. Ted would then need to win the race and lead the most laps. Ted would also need Dennis Setzer to finish 11th or worse without leadin a lap, or 13th or worse if he leads a lap.
Bobby Hamilton
* Bobby Hamilton clinches the championship regardless of how the other drivers perform if he finishes 14th or better without leading a lap, 16th or better while leading a lap, OR 19th or better while leading the most laps.
Dennis Setzer
* These scenarios assume Bobby Hamilton doesn't lead a lap and finishes in the indicated position and then lists how Dennis would have to perform to win the championship.
- Bobby finished 15th (3627 points) - Dennis would have win the race leading the most laps.
- Bobby finished 16th (3624 points) - Dennis would have to win the race.
- Bobby finished 17th (3621 points) - Dennis would have to win the race.
- Bobby finished 18th (3618 points) - Dennis would have to win the race or finish 2nd while leading the most laps.
- Bobby finished 19th (3615 points) - Dennis would have to win the race or finish 2nd while leading the most laps.
- Bobby finished 20th (3612 points) - Dennis would have to win the race, finish 2nd while leading a lap, OR finish 3rd or better while leading the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 21st (3609 points) - Dennis would have to win the race, finish 2nd while leading a lap, OR finish 3rd or better while leading the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 22nd (3606 points) - Dennis would have to finish 2nd if he failed to lead a lap, finish 3rd or better if he led a lap, or finish 4th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 23rd (3603 points) - Dennis would have to finish 3rd or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 4th or better if he led a lap, or finish 5th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 24th (3600 points) - Dennis would have to finish 3rd or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 4th or better if he led a lap, or finish 5th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 25th (3597 points) - Dennis would have to finish 4th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 5th or better if he led a lap, or finish 6th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 26th (3594 points) - Dennis would have to finish 4th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 5th or better if he led a lap, or finish 7th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 27th (3591 points) - Dennis would have to finish 5th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 6th or better if he led a lap, or finish 7th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 28th (3588 points) - Dennis would have to finish 6th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 7th or better if he led a lap, or finish 8th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 29th (3585 points) - Dennis would have to finish 6th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 8th or better if he led a lap, or finish 9th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 30th (3582 points) - Dennis would have to finish 7th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 8th or better if he led a lap, or finish 10th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 31st (3579 points) - Dennis would have to finish 8th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 9th or better if he led a lap, or finish 10th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 32nd (3576 points) - Dennis would have to finish 9th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 10th or better if he led a lap, or finish 11th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 33rd (3573 points) - Dennis would have to finish 9th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 11th or better if he led a lap, or finish 12th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 34th (3570 points) - Dennis would have to finish 10th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 12th or better if he led a lap, or finish 13th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 35th (3567 points) - Dennis would have to finish 11th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 13th or better if he led a lap, or finish 14th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 36th (3564 points) - Dennis would have to finish 12th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 14th or better if he led a lap, or finish 15th or better if he led the most laps.
* These scenarios assume Bobby Hamilton leads 1 or more laps but not the most laps and finishes in the indicated position and then lists how Dennis would have to perform to win the championship.
- Bobby finished 17th (3626 points) - Dennis would have to win the race while leading the most laps.
- Bobby finished 18th (3623 points) - Dennis would have to win the race while leading the most laps.
- Bobby finished 19th (3620 points) - Dennis would have to win the race.
- Bobby finished 20th (3617 points) - Dennis would have to win the race if he led laps but not the most laps or finish 2nd or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 21st (3614 points) - Dennis would have to win the race if he led laps but not the most laps or finish 2nd or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 22nd (3611 points) - Dennis would have to finish 2nd or better if he led a lap, or finish 3rd or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 23rd (3608 points) - Dennis would have to finish 2nd if he failed to lead a lap, finish 3rd or better if he led a lap, or finish 4th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 24th (3605 points) - Dennis would have to finish 2nd if he failed to lead a lap, finish 3rd or better if he led a lap, or finish 4th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 25th (3602 points) - Dennis would have to finish 3rd or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 4th or better if he led a lap, or finish 5th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 26th (3599 points) - Dennis would have to finish 3rd or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 4th or better if he led a lap, or finish 5th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 27th (3596 points) - Dennis would have to finish 4th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 5th or better if he led a lap, or finish 6th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 28th (3593 points) - Dennis would have to finish 5th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 6th or better if he led a lap, or finish 7th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 29th (3590 points) - Dennis would have to finish 5th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 6th or better if he led a lap, or finish 8th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 30th (3587 points) - Dennis would have to finish 6th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 7th or better if he led a lap, or finish 8th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 31st (3584 points) - Dennis would have to finish 7th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 8th or better if he led a lap, or finish 9th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 32nd (3581 points) - Dennis would have to finish 7th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 9th or better if he led a lap, or finish 10th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 33rd (3578 points) - Dennis would have to finish 8th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 9th or better if he led a lap, or finish 11th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 34th (3575 points) - Dennis would have to finish 9th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 10th or better if he led a lap, or finish 12th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 35th (3572 points) - Dennis would have to finish 10th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 11th or better if he led a lap, or finish 13th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 36th (3569 points) - Dennis would have to finish 10th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 12th or better if he led a lap, or finish 14th or better if he led the most laps.
* These scenarios assume Bobby Hamilton leads the most laps and finishes in the indicated position and then lists how Dennis would have to perform to win the championship.
- Bobby finished 20th (3622 points) - Dennis would have to win the race.
- Bobby finished 21st (3619 points) - Dennis would have to win the race.
- Bobby finished 22nd (3616 points) - Dennis would have to win the race.
- Bobby finished 23rd (3613 points) - Dennis would have to win the race or finish 2nd or better while leading a lap.
- Bobby finished 24th (3610 points) - Dennis would have to win the race or finish 2nd or better while leading a lap.
- Bobby finished 25th (3607 points) - Dennis would have to finish 2nd if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 3rd or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 26th (3604 points) - Dennis would have to finish 2nd if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 3rd or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 27th (3601 points) - Dennis would have to finish 3rd or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 4th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 28th (3598 points) - Dennis would have to finish 4th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 5th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 29th (3595 points) - Dennis would have to finish 4th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 5th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 30th (3592 points) - Dennis would have to finish 5th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 6th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 31st (3589 points) - Dennis would have to finish 5th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 7th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 32nd (3586 points) - Dennis would have to finish 6th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 7th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 33rd (3583 points) - Dennis would have to finish 7th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 8th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 34th (3580 points) - Dennis would have to finish 8th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 9th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 35th (3577 points) - Dennis would have to finish 8th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 10th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 36th (3574 points) - Dennis would have to finish 9th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 10th or better if he led a lap.
Carl Edwards
* As soon as Bobby Hamilton takes the green flag to start the race, Carl Edwards will be eliminated from championship contention.
Ted Musgrave
* The only way Ted Musgrave can win the championship is if Bobby Hamilton finishes 36th without leading a lap. Ted would then need to win the race and lead the most laps. Ted would also need Dennis Setzer to finish 11th or worse without leadin a lap, or 13th or worse if he leads a lap.
Bobby Hamilton
* Bobby Hamilton clinches the championship regardless of how the other drivers perform if he finishes 14th or better without leading a lap, 16th or better while leading a lap, OR 19th or better while leading the most laps.
Dennis Setzer
* These scenarios assume Bobby Hamilton doesn't lead a lap and finishes in the indicated position and then lists how Dennis would have to perform to win the championship.
- Bobby finished 15th (3627 points) - Dennis would have win the race leading the most laps.
- Bobby finished 16th (3624 points) - Dennis would have to win the race.
- Bobby finished 17th (3621 points) - Dennis would have to win the race.
- Bobby finished 18th (3618 points) - Dennis would have to win the race or finish 2nd while leading the most laps.
- Bobby finished 19th (3615 points) - Dennis would have to win the race or finish 2nd while leading the most laps.
- Bobby finished 20th (3612 points) - Dennis would have to win the race, finish 2nd while leading a lap, OR finish 3rd or better while leading the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 21st (3609 points) - Dennis would have to win the race, finish 2nd while leading a lap, OR finish 3rd or better while leading the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 22nd (3606 points) - Dennis would have to finish 2nd if he failed to lead a lap, finish 3rd or better if he led a lap, or finish 4th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 23rd (3603 points) - Dennis would have to finish 3rd or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 4th or better if he led a lap, or finish 5th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 24th (3600 points) - Dennis would have to finish 3rd or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 4th or better if he led a lap, or finish 5th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 25th (3597 points) - Dennis would have to finish 4th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 5th or better if he led a lap, or finish 6th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 26th (3594 points) - Dennis would have to finish 4th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 5th or better if he led a lap, or finish 7th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 27th (3591 points) - Dennis would have to finish 5th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 6th or better if he led a lap, or finish 7th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 28th (3588 points) - Dennis would have to finish 6th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 7th or better if he led a lap, or finish 8th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 29th (3585 points) - Dennis would have to finish 6th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 8th or better if he led a lap, or finish 9th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 30th (3582 points) - Dennis would have to finish 7th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 8th or better if he led a lap, or finish 10th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 31st (3579 points) - Dennis would have to finish 8th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 9th or better if he led a lap, or finish 10th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 32nd (3576 points) - Dennis would have to finish 9th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 10th or better if he led a lap, or finish 11th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 33rd (3573 points) - Dennis would have to finish 9th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 11th or better if he led a lap, or finish 12th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 34th (3570 points) - Dennis would have to finish 10th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 12th or better if he led a lap, or finish 13th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 35th (3567 points) - Dennis would have to finish 11th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 13th or better if he led a lap, or finish 14th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby Finished 36th (3564 points) - Dennis would have to finish 12th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 14th or better if he led a lap, or finish 15th or better if he led the most laps.
* These scenarios assume Bobby Hamilton leads 1 or more laps but not the most laps and finishes in the indicated position and then lists how Dennis would have to perform to win the championship.
- Bobby finished 17th (3626 points) - Dennis would have to win the race while leading the most laps.
- Bobby finished 18th (3623 points) - Dennis would have to win the race while leading the most laps.
- Bobby finished 19th (3620 points) - Dennis would have to win the race.
- Bobby finished 20th (3617 points) - Dennis would have to win the race if he led laps but not the most laps or finish 2nd or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 21st (3614 points) - Dennis would have to win the race if he led laps but not the most laps or finish 2nd or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 22nd (3611 points) - Dennis would have to finish 2nd or better if he led a lap, or finish 3rd or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 23rd (3608 points) - Dennis would have to finish 2nd if he failed to lead a lap, finish 3rd or better if he led a lap, or finish 4th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 24th (3605 points) - Dennis would have to finish 2nd if he failed to lead a lap, finish 3rd or better if he led a lap, or finish 4th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 25th (3602 points) - Dennis would have to finish 3rd or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 4th or better if he led a lap, or finish 5th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 26th (3599 points) - Dennis would have to finish 3rd or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 4th or better if he led a lap, or finish 5th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 27th (3596 points) - Dennis would have to finish 4th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 5th or better if he led a lap, or finish 6th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 28th (3593 points) - Dennis would have to finish 5th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 6th or better if he led a lap, or finish 7th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 29th (3590 points) - Dennis would have to finish 5th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 6th or better if he led a lap, or finish 8th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 30th (3587 points) - Dennis would have to finish 6th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 7th or better if he led a lap, or finish 8th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 31st (3584 points) - Dennis would have to finish 7th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 8th or better if he led a lap, or finish 9th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 32nd (3581 points) - Dennis would have to finish 7th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 9th or better if he led a lap, or finish 10th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 33rd (3578 points) - Dennis would have to finish 8th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 9th or better if he led a lap, or finish 11th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 34th (3575 points) - Dennis would have to finish 9th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 10th or better if he led a lap, or finish 12th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 35th (3572 points) - Dennis would have to finish 10th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 11th or better if he led a lap, or finish 13th or better if he led the most laps.
- Bobby finished 36th (3569 points) - Dennis would have to finish 10th or better if he failed to lead a lap, finish 12th or better if he led a lap, or finish 14th or better if he led the most laps.
* These scenarios assume Bobby Hamilton leads the most laps and finishes in the indicated position and then lists how Dennis would have to perform to win the championship.
- Bobby finished 20th (3622 points) - Dennis would have to win the race.
- Bobby finished 21st (3619 points) - Dennis would have to win the race.
- Bobby finished 22nd (3616 points) - Dennis would have to win the race.
- Bobby finished 23rd (3613 points) - Dennis would have to win the race or finish 2nd or better while leading a lap.
- Bobby finished 24th (3610 points) - Dennis would have to win the race or finish 2nd or better while leading a lap.
- Bobby finished 25th (3607 points) - Dennis would have to finish 2nd if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 3rd or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 26th (3604 points) - Dennis would have to finish 2nd if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 3rd or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 27th (3601 points) - Dennis would have to finish 3rd or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 4th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 28th (3598 points) - Dennis would have to finish 4th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 5th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 29th (3595 points) - Dennis would have to finish 4th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 5th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 30th (3592 points) - Dennis would have to finish 5th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 6th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 31st (3589 points) - Dennis would have to finish 5th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 7th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 32nd (3586 points) - Dennis would have to finish 6th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 7th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 33rd (3583 points) - Dennis would have to finish 7th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 8th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 34th (3580 points) - Dennis would have to finish 8th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 9th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 35th (3577 points) - Dennis would have to finish 8th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 10th or better if he led a lap.
- Bobby finished 36th (3574 points) - Dennis would have to finish 9th or better if he failed to lead a lap, or finish 10th or better if he led a lap.