Sunday, January 16, 2005 9:25 a.m. PST (1725 UTC)
MOUNT ST. HELENS UPDATE
Current status is Volcano Advisory (Alert Level 2); aviation color code ORANGE
Growth of the new lava dome inside the crater of Mount St. Helens continues, accompanied by low rates of seismicity, low emissions of steam and volcanic gases, and minor production of ash. During such eruptions, episodic changes in the level of activity can occur over days to months. The eruption could also intensify suddenly or with little warning and produce explosions that cause hazardous conditions within several miles of the crater and farther downwind. Small lahars could suddenly descend the Toutle River if triggered by heavy rain or by interaction of hot rocks with snow and ice. These lahars pose a negligible hazard below the Sediment Retention Structure (SRS) but could pose a hazard along the river channel upstream.
Potential ash hazards:Wind forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), coupled with eruption models, show that ash clouds that rise above the crater rim today would chiefly drift west-northwestward.
Recent observations: The volcano is shrouded in clouds this morning. New instrumentation packages installed on the dome Friday are transmitting data that will be used to more closely track movement of the north end of the new dome. Seismicity suggests that small rockfalls are occurring from the dome. Such rockfalls may generate ash plumes that drift over the crater rim.