Next winless streak to go down?

ToyYoda

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With Martin Truex Jr. getting his first win in 6 years yesterday, I got to wondering...who is most likely to be next to snap a long winless streak? Below are some notable drivers who are in such droughts:

Bobby Labonte - Last win: 11/16/03, Homestead
I don't see this one happening at all, as Bobby's two points in the last two races may attest. He was great once upon a time, but I think that '03 Homestead win will remain his last.

Casey Mears - Last win: 5/27/07, Charlotte
He could pull it off at a plate track a la David Ragan, but I wouldn't look for this streak to be snapped anywhere else.

Jeff Burton - Last win: 10/11/08, Charlotte
The Mayor doesn't seem to have much left in the tank, only 3 top-10's in 16 races this year as he keeps the seat warm for a Dillon to be named later. If it does happen, New Hampshire would probably be the most likely place.

Brian Vickers - Last win: 8/16/09, Michigan
Kinda hard to snap it when you only run a handful of Cup races, but it wouldn't surprise me to see Vickers in Victory Lane again in 2014.

Mark Martin - Last win: 9/20/09, New Hampshire
You can never count him out, but he seems to have regressed just a bit from his impressive 2012. Maybe Father Time is finally catching up.

David Reutimann - Last win: 7/10/10, Chicagoland
Not in the junk equipment he's currently in. And at 43, he'll probably never get a ride much better than what he has now.

Juan Pablo Montoya - Last win: 8/8/10, Watkins Glen
This one seems the most likely to me. Despite his heartbreaker at Sonoma, JPM has been running a lot better as of late. And Watkins Glen is coming up. I'd take Ambrose and JPM against the field in that one.

Jamie McMurray - Last win: 10/16/10, Charlotte
Like Montoya, his EGR teammate, McMurray is back in the 20's in the points standings, but has shown flashes this year. With three of his six career wins on plate tracks, that'd probably be the most likely palce for him to end the drought.
 
One of the Gnassi drivers.
Newman (not on the list) could break a (calendar) year long streak as well. I know he isnt the most popular driver but he usually has a few strong runs every year and SHR equipment.
I think the others listed are highly unlikely.
 
I predict Carl Edwards.

I spent many many years watching Mark Martin race, everytime I see him racing these days he's clearly tired and worn out and the car he has isn't helping.
 
I predict Carl Edwards.

I spent many many years watching Mark Martin race, everytime I see him racing these days he's clearly tired and worn out and the car he has isn't helping.
Carl just won in March, so not really what you'd call a long winless streak.

I was thinking more along the lines of guys whose last win came 2010 or before.
 
Vickers, Montoya, and McMurray have equipment that can win. Vickers has six shots at it this year, both Ganassi's have the heat on contract wise, and more chances. I'm going with Juan, with Vickers a close second.
 
I don't see any of those guys getting a win anywhere other than at a plate track or a road course. I'll go with McMurray getting his next one first, though it could also be Vickers. He runs very well in the #55 car regardless of where we are racing.
 
For the record, Mears very likely wouldn't be on this list had he not of been blocked by someone who hates people who block. ;)
 
Nice thread, toyodor. ;)

Mark Martin, because it would be cool to see him in the winners circle a few more times.
 
I still think Mark's got one more, if not a few more, in him. Montoya could very easily win a race this year. I have a feeling he'll be tough at the Brickyard. Actually, a lot of tracks that Montoya does good at coming up.

Vickers might be able to win Bristol. He seems to run really well there. McMurray - IDK that dude, as a driver, is so horribly consistent and has always been. He could put together three top five runs and then spend a month in the basement then suddenly score a win.
 
I can see Vickers winning at Bristol -- like people have said he runs very well there and he almost won the night race last year before getting loose.

Montoya could win at one of three places -- a road course, Brickyard, or a fast short track like Bristol or Richmond.

McMurray is great on restrictor plate races, so he could win there, or a intermediate. But like people have said, you really never know about him.
 
Brian Vickers career average finish at Bristol is about 21st.

I can see Burton getting one more at New Hampshire. Martin has the ability to win any race he's in so those two are my guesses.
 
Brian Vickers career average finish at Bristol is about 21st.

I can see Burton getting one more at New Hampshire. Martin has the ability to win any race he's in so those two are my guesses.

I should add that Vickers' last 3 Bristol races have produced better results...8th, 4th and 5th.
 
Vickers will have a better shot when he is running full time. I keep expecting Montoya to get his first oval win, he has come close. McMurray can get one but both Montoya and McMurray are in Ganassi cars and they just aren't as competitive as the competition but on any given Sunday...
 
Vickers will have a better shot when he is running full time. I keep expecting Montoya to get his first oval win, he has come close. McMurray can get one but both Montoya and McMurray are in Ganassi cars and they just aren't as competitive as the competition but on any given Sunday...



Actually the Ganassi cars, Montoya in particular, have been very good this year. I'd say they have been in the same realm as the 78 and 29, just behind the HMS and JGR guys. They have had some great runs, but equally bad luck.
 
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