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Fourteen drivers are mathematically eligible | Four control their own destinies
• The top eight drivers -- Jimmie Johnson, Kyle Busch, Carl Edwards, Matt Kenseth, JeffGordon, Kevin Harvick, Kurt Busch and Ryan Newman -- have each clinched a top-10 spot. Brad Keselowski, with three wins, has locked up at least a wild card berth.
•Dale Earnhardt Jr.: A finish of 20th or better clinches a spot. Even if Keselowski does knock Earnhardt out of the top 10, he could still earn a Chase berth if there is only one winner from spots 11th to 02th.
•Tony Stewart: A finish of 18th or better clinches a spot. Like Earnhardt, even if Keselowski does knock Stewart out of the top 10, Stewart could still earn a Chase berth if there is only one winner from spots 11th to 20th.
•Denny Hamlin: A win, and he's in. Hamlin doesn't have to win, though. If he stays ahead of all one-win drivers, and there are no other two-win drivers inside the top 20, he's in. Also, if Keselowski does vault into the top 10, Hamlin could still make the Chase if there is a two-win driver from 11th to 20th as long as he's higher in points than any other one-win driver.
•A.J. Allmendinger: Allmendinger is where the wild card drama starts to ratchet up. A win is the onlything that matters and he'll need a win and movement up the points to nab the tie-breaker. He finished seventh at RIR in April.
•Clint Bowyer: Of the winless drivers, Bowyer might be the best bet. Bowyer won here in 2008, and has an average finish of 9.5. He needs a win, and some help.
•Greg Biffle: One of six winless drivers who won in 2010, Biffle's best Richmond finish was third in 2005. He needs a win, and some help.
•Martin Truex Jr.: Two of his past four finishes have been in the top five. His best finish at RIR is fifth in 2008. He needs a win, and some help.
•Kasey Kahne: Kahne, who needs a win and some help, won at Richmond in 2005, his first career victory.
•Joey Logano: Needs a win and help. His best finish at RIR was fourth in 2010.
•Mark Martin: Needs a win and help; he won at Richmond in 1990.
•Paul Menard: Win, and he's in. His best finish at RIR is 16th in 2007.
•Marcos Ambrose: If he wins, and gets into the top 20, he's in. Two of his past three Richmond finishes were in the top 10.
•Juan Montoya: Needs a win and help. His best finish was sixth in May of last year.
•David Ragan: If he wins, and gets into the top 20, he's in. He finished fourth in April, and third in 2007.
Fourteen drivers are mathematically eligible | Four control their own destinies
• The top eight drivers -- Jimmie Johnson, Kyle Busch, Carl Edwards, Matt Kenseth, JeffGordon, Kevin Harvick, Kurt Busch and Ryan Newman -- have each clinched a top-10 spot. Brad Keselowski, with three wins, has locked up at least a wild card berth.
•Dale Earnhardt Jr.: A finish of 20th or better clinches a spot. Even if Keselowski does knock Earnhardt out of the top 10, he could still earn a Chase berth if there is only one winner from spots 11th to 02th.
•Tony Stewart: A finish of 18th or better clinches a spot. Like Earnhardt, even if Keselowski does knock Stewart out of the top 10, Stewart could still earn a Chase berth if there is only one winner from spots 11th to 20th.
•Denny Hamlin: A win, and he's in. Hamlin doesn't have to win, though. If he stays ahead of all one-win drivers, and there are no other two-win drivers inside the top 20, he's in. Also, if Keselowski does vault into the top 10, Hamlin could still make the Chase if there is a two-win driver from 11th to 20th as long as he's higher in points than any other one-win driver.
•A.J. Allmendinger: Allmendinger is where the wild card drama starts to ratchet up. A win is the onlything that matters and he'll need a win and movement up the points to nab the tie-breaker. He finished seventh at RIR in April.
•Clint Bowyer: Of the winless drivers, Bowyer might be the best bet. Bowyer won here in 2008, and has an average finish of 9.5. He needs a win, and some help.
•Greg Biffle: One of six winless drivers who won in 2010, Biffle's best Richmond finish was third in 2005. He needs a win, and some help.
•Martin Truex Jr.: Two of his past four finishes have been in the top five. His best finish at RIR is fifth in 2008. He needs a win, and some help.
•Kasey Kahne: Kahne, who needs a win and some help, won at Richmond in 2005, his first career victory.
•Joey Logano: Needs a win and help. His best finish at RIR was fourth in 2010.
•Mark Martin: Needs a win and help; he won at Richmond in 1990.
•Paul Menard: Win, and he's in. His best finish at RIR is 16th in 2007.
•Marcos Ambrose: If he wins, and gets into the top 20, he's in. Two of his past three Richmond finishes were in the top 10.
•Juan Montoya: Needs a win and help. His best finish was sixth in May of last year.
•David Ragan: If he wins, and gets into the top 20, he's in. He finished fourth in April, and third in 2007.
