H
HardScrabble
Guest
Near as I can figure it Ryan has clinched the ROTY. UNLESS the rookie panel decides to award points to change the outcome of the points earned in the races.
Even the panel should not be factor as I understand its workings.
Ryan leads the rookie standings over Jimmie by 20 points. The highest number of points that Jimmie can earn at Homestead is 21. No matter what Ryan does, since only the best 17 races count, he already has a 13 point race in the bag. So the most Jimmie can gain is 8.
That would give Ryan the award by 12 points.
There is a bonus point award after the final race which gives the rookie accumulating the most Winston Cup points over the last 16 races 10 bonus points, then 9 points to the next rookie, and so on down to 1 point.
Worst case Ryan loses another point to JJ, to make his margin 11 points.
The panel then awards further points to the Rookies on a 10 to one scale in another four categories:
Conduct with Officials
Track Conduct and Awareness
Personal Appearance
Media Relationship
The points are awarded on at 10 down to 1 scale again. If I understand this correctly one would guess that again worst case, JJ would get 10 points in each category and Ryan would most likely get 9. That would be another 4 point swing to JJ.
That still leaves Ryan with a 7 point margin, even if the panel for some reason wre to rank Ryan third in each of those categories that would only be another 4 point swing, still leaving Ryan with a 3 point margin.
This is to the best of my understanding, if someone has better info please advise before I give full congrats to Ryan.
Even the panel should not be factor as I understand its workings.
Ryan leads the rookie standings over Jimmie by 20 points. The highest number of points that Jimmie can earn at Homestead is 21. No matter what Ryan does, since only the best 17 races count, he already has a 13 point race in the bag. So the most Jimmie can gain is 8.
That would give Ryan the award by 12 points.
There is a bonus point award after the final race which gives the rookie accumulating the most Winston Cup points over the last 16 races 10 bonus points, then 9 points to the next rookie, and so on down to 1 point.
Worst case Ryan loses another point to JJ, to make his margin 11 points.
The panel then awards further points to the Rookies on a 10 to one scale in another four categories:
Conduct with Officials
Track Conduct and Awareness
Personal Appearance
Media Relationship
The points are awarded on at 10 down to 1 scale again. If I understand this correctly one would guess that again worst case, JJ would get 10 points in each category and Ryan would most likely get 9. That would be another 4 point swing to JJ.
That still leaves Ryan with a 7 point margin, even if the panel for some reason wre to rank Ryan third in each of those categories that would only be another 4 point swing, still leaving Ryan with a 3 point margin.
This is to the best of my understanding, if someone has better info please advise before I give full congrats to Ryan.