The magic number...10 to go

H

HardScrabble

Guest
Matt picked up a few points and moved the magic number.

Following last nights race as the points now stand Matt's magic number is 7. Matt need finish 7th or better in each of the remaining 10 races and Jr cannot catch him. Matt's magic number vs Kevin is 8th and vs JJ is 9th.

In order to catch Matt the drivers have to begin cutting into the lead. By how much?

Jr. will have to trim an average of 41.8 points in every remaining race
Kevin an average of 44.1 and JJ an average of 50.1.

Three more drivers have been mathematically eliminated from the race. Jeff Green, Casey Mears, and Ken Schrader cannot under any circumstances get to the front.

Four other drivers; J. Spencer, K. Wallace, S. Park, and T. Bodine cannot catch Kenseth if he only starts the remaining 10 races.
 
That's interesting. And if Harvick get set out a race. which I hope he don't. But his numbers will change big time.
 
That guy can get in trouble and somehow pull a great finish off, good job for him. Just hope that his season is a good one next year.
 
So what you are saying HS is it is pretty much Matt's right? I am still pulling for Tony! :p
 
If the points lead grows like it has the past few races, Matt could have the title wrapped up before November. As it stands right now all he would need to do is just start the last three races and he would wrap it up. That would mean barring injury he could wrap it up at either Atlanta with a slightly bigger lead or lay claim to it at Phoenix. Unbelievable. Can someone tell me the modern era record for races left in a season after the championship had been claimed?
 
Great crew, great driver, great car(s) every weekend, basicly everything is great for Kenseth. He could get into the wall of be invovled in a crash and still finish in the top 10.
 
Originally posted by N2racin88@Sep 7 2003, 08:43 AM
Can someone tell me the modern era record for races left in a season after the championship had been claimed?
Click to expand...
I was wondering the same thing.
 
I think that, in the first year of the current point system (1975), Richard Petty clinched the title with four races to go.
 
Officially that is correct, though the championship was well sewn up before that. Richard won his sixth title by some 722 points. The largest margin ever under the current system.

Interesting year,,,,,,,, Dave Marcis won the first WC race of his career and had his career best points finish.

Darrell Waltrip also won his first career race, and then later his second. He did it driving for two different teams.

Bobby Allison won three races that year, not so much a surprise except he won all three of them in an AMC Matador.
 
Though maybe I'd run some numbers on the next race.

Heading up New Hampshire way to tough little track that many drivers find difficult. And half of those in the top four spots are among them.

JJ has the least problems with the flat mile. He's only run there three times and managed a win. The only one of the four to do so. With that his career average is 8.3 at the track. In his only start in the fall race he finished 9th.

Matt hs 7 starts at NHIS. Best finish was a 3rd earlier this season. Overall his average finish is 14.6 with two top fives and one finish of 10th. This race has been a little better for Matt. He averages a finish of 10.4, just a spot behind Jimmy.

Kevin has 5 starts here. Best finish is a 2nd earlier this season. He has two other top tens to go with it. For his career he averages a finish 15.6, just a tick behind Matt. This particular race has not been good to Kevin. Finishes of 26th and 33rd in the two fall races average to 29.5. Kevin needs to improve on that this weekend.

Jr has more starts than any of the other three. And has used them to find out how not to run this track for the most part. Best finish ever was a 6th in the first race this season. His career finishing average here is 21st and this race is pretty much right there at 22nd. Like Kevin he needs to move up in the field come Sunday.

All these drivers are relatively young, with relatively few starts at NHIS. So perhaps the averages mean nothing. All of them had their career best finishes here back in July with JJ, Kevin, and Matt finishing one, two, three.

No genuine edge to any one of them. Once again it seems that the lady of fortune may play the biggest role on this stage.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top Bottom