Two weeks in a row my boy gets wrecked by someone else's mistake. How many times this year has that happened to Ward? Kansas, Dover II, and Bristol II that come immediately to mind.
Like I said before about the bad/good luck. I do agree sometimes if you qualify more towards the front that you have a better chance if the field doesn't get shuffled around a lot, but if the field shuffles a lot I don't think it really matters where you qualify.