Which Drivers Will Capitalize The Most

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Skoalbandit33

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Now that the changes have been announced do you feel that any particular drivers will benefit more than others or do you think they will all adapt? If Nascar wants go, go, go all the time, time, time, Kyle Busch and BKez seem ideally suited but maybe not so much guys like Matt Kenseth and Jimmie Johnson who seem to take a more calculated view of things. Thoughts?
 
Winning is still all that matters. Bonus points will be nice but the win is all that really matters.
 
Guys who are up front a lot like Kyle and Brad, might hurt the closer aka Harvick
 
Skoalbandit33 said:
Now that the changes have been announced do you feel that any particular drivers will benefit more than others or do you think they will all adapt? If Nascar wants go, go, go all the time, time, time, Kyle Busch and BKez seem ideally suited but maybe not so much guys like Matt Kenseth and Jimmie Johnson who seem to take a more calculated view of things. Thoughts?
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I believe that the #18 & 2 will be the quickest to rack up some points in the early part of the season due to their aggressiveness but it will be interesting to see how the #20 & 48 engage now that segments are involved and it will be fun to watch how the young guns #24 & 42 do.
 
kkfan91 said:
Guys who are up front a lot like Kyle and Brad, might hurt the closer aka Harvick
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I think it suits him more than almost anyone. He usually ran good all race then choked at the end so getting points in middle of race should help him if they maintain fast cars like they had with Hendrick.
 
Same people that always have been up front. They'll continue to be there because they've already shown they can adapt to whatever NASCAR wants to throw at them. Johnson and Kenseth have only missed one Chase each; look for that to continue. Harvick, Kyle Busch, the Penske boys.

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Joe Gibbs and his satellite teams, along with harvick, brad, and logano. By the time the July Daytona race takes place, there will be about 5 drivers that can totally check out, which I guess is better than the 10 or so drivers that stopped racing under last years system. This also helps drivers, like truex, that lead 90% of a race but fall short at the end.

In other words, nothing changes on the track, and anyone watching has a convoluted mess to keep up with. Keep it simple stupid is not a part of Brian France's life.
 
I think Denny and others who cruised after a win will be forced to race more. You can be sure JGR won't get to lay back at RP tracks because they can really get out scored if they do. Junior could lead most of the race finish 5th and out score the winner.
 
I like Harvick's chances more with this format. The past two years he had a really strong regular season (1st both times) but it meant nothing. He leads a ton early on too so I can see a decent number of stage wins coming.
 
Team Penske said:
I think Denny and others who cruised after a win will be forced to race more. You can be sure JGR won't get to lay back at RP tracks because they can really get out scored if they do. Junior could lead most of the race finish 5th and out score the winner.
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To be fair I think the 48 team sometimes lays back as well after they have a coupe wins in the bag. Jimmie didn't win a race between March 20th and October 9th last year, no doubt they were doing a little R&D in between.
 
FLRacingFan said:
I like Harvick's chances more with this format. The past two years he had a really strong regular season (1st both times) but it meant nothing. He leads a ton early on too so I can see a decent number of stage wins coming.
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Yes.. Harvick comes to mind. He is usually there. Unfortunately, I don't think my driver has been riding in the top ten enough. Junior needs to step up his game.
 
So I looked at the standings going into the chase from this past year and tried to extrapolate what their bonus points would have been based on results after Richmond. 5 points for a win and I gave 2 chase bonus points for each most laps lead since I thought that was most approximate. Here's what I got:

2016 Chase Seedings using 2017 rules: (Name - Bonus Points - ranking change from 2016 to 17
Harvick - 37 - (0)
Keslowski - 36 - (0)
Kyle Busch - 33 (+3)
Hamlin - 26 - (0)
Truex - 21 - (+3)
Edwards - 18 - (+1)
Logano - 17 - (-4)
Johnson - 14 (+1)
Kurt Busch - 11 - (-4)
Kenseth - 10 - (+3)
Larson - 7 - (+3)
Stewart - 5 - (+3)
Buescher - 5 - (+3)
Elliot - 2 - (-3)
McMurray - 0 (-2)
Dillon - 0 - (-5)

As you can see, the top 3 have a pretty sizable lead. I'd predict that in 2017 the playoffs will heavily favor the drivers winning the most races and the points champion.
 
I'm hoping it'll benefit the 42. He often is strong early but has trouble finishing a complete race. Maybe he's too used to 30 lap sprint car features. He was much better toward the end of the season though.
 
Will be good for the aggressive drivers, 14, 2, 22 yes even the 42, not so good for the cautious drivers 5, 10 come to mind, could be a rough season for them. .................... to the 5
 
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