For Kicks: What is your final four?

jaqua19

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Who makes homestead this year?

I'm gonna say

1. Truex
2. Larson
3. Johnson
4 Keselowski

Truex is a lock. Larson and Johnson are as close to being locks without being lock as you can be.

Brad is just overdue.
 
1. MTJ- essentially locked
2. Larson- unless he chokes hard during the playoffs, he's essentially locked
3. JJ- never count out that 48
4. Harvick- he's quietly had a very good season, and has been very consistent

Alternates: Ky. Busch and BK
 
78 locked basically
42 too fast
18 too fast
2 too strong

48 hasn't been a top 6 or 7 car all year but they are the 48

4 consistent could make it happen
 
Who makes homestead this year?

I'm gonna say

1. Truex
2. Larson
3. Johnson
4 Keselowski

Truex is a lock. Larson and Johnson are as close to being locks without being lock as you can be.

Brad is just overdue.


Mine too. based on wins
 
78 locked basically
42 too fast
18 too fast
2 too strong

48 hasn't been a top 6 or 7 car all year but they are the 48

4 consistent could make it happen

I think Jimmie's playoff points will help.

He will no doubtly win on more race before Homestead, cause he has for 15 years. Which will eventually give him 21 playoff points. Dont forget he was fast until after Dover.

Unless someone starts lighting it up, I think the 78, 42, and 48 are the three safest bets.

Final spot will be between Keselowski, and KB in my opinion
 
Brad k wins martinsville again
Jimmy wins Texas again
Kyle Busch closes out Phoenix this time
78 points his way in over Larson.

People are really missing just how important those three races really are. Only one team can point their way into homestead and that's gonna be truex for sure. It just so happens that the best cars at those semifinal tracks are the ones already up there in playoff points, but that could change any given Sunday. If you're not the 78 it really doesn't matter how many playoff points you get because they won't help you get to homestead.
 
Well you always have one big name driver eliminated early just due to bad luck, if there was no Stage points and no regular season champion bonus points I'd look at the 78. But I don't see how they can't make it with all the stage and playoff points they have so I'm picking them for Miami, I'll pick the 2 to be that favored team that gets in an early hole and then eliminated early. Usually you have an underdog that points their way in into the final four by avoiding the carnage and gaining the lucky breaks, so I'll go with the 3 team as that team, even though it took everything I had not to pick the 17 team. Next defending Champ 48, they've figured out these elimination formats and he can/will win Dover or Martinsville, watch out. Lastly, it's the 42 rounding out the Final Four in Miami, they are just too good on the 1.5 mile-2 mile tracks that make up the playoffs and I don't see why couldnt win at Texas, Kansas, Charlotte or Miami.
 
Well you always have one big name driver eliminated early just due to bad luck, if there was no Stage points and no regular season champion bonus points I'd look at the 78. But I don't see how they can't make it with all the stage and playoff points they have so I'm picking them for Miami, I'll pick the 2 to be that favored team that gets in an early hole and then eliminated early. Usually you have an underdog that points their way in into the final four by avoiding the carnage and gaining the lucky breaks, so I'll go with the 3 team as that team, even though it took everything I had not to pick the 17 team. Next defending Champ 48, they've figured out these elimination formats and he can/will win Dover or Martinsville, watch out. Lastly, it's the 42 rounding out the Final Four in Miami, they are just too good on the 1.5 mile-2 mile tracks that make up the playoffs and I don't see why couldnt win at Texas, Kansas, Charlotte or Miami.
Good call on an underdog, now that you bring up the 17 crew, if they survive the first round and run pretty well and run very well or pull of a repeat at Dega, he could really capitalize on a frontrunners bad luck.
 
Well you always have one big name driver eliminated early just due to bad luck, if there was no Stage points and no regular season champion bonus points I'd look at the 78. But I don't see how they can't make it with all the stage and playoff points they have so I'm picking them for Miami, I'll pick the 2 to be that favored team that gets in an early hole and then eliminated early. Usually you have an underdog that points their way in into the final four by avoiding the carnage and gaining the lucky breaks, so I'll go with the 3 team as that team, even though it took everything I had not to pick the 17 team. Next defending Champ 48, they've figured out these elimination formats and he can/will win Dover or Martinsville, watch out. Lastly, it's the 42 rounding out the Final Four in Miami, they are just too good on the 1.5 mile-2 mile tracks that make up the playoffs and I don't see why couldnt win at Texas, Kansas, Charlotte or Miami.

If my for kicks prediction comes true, someone owes me money. Not you necessarily, but somebody.
 
Winning will be everything in the final 10 races. Going to be intense as hell.

78
4
42
24

Chase wins 2 playoff races, sheds the RF bust label, and powers thru as the surprise of the year. :cool:
 
48 and the other 3 will be Toyota.
No Fords in the final 4 although the 42 could squeak in.
 
78 - Truex has the points cushion.
48 - "7 Time" wins Texas.
42 - Kyle Busch is pouting.
2 - Kez is way overdue.

Chase wins 2 3 playoff races, sheds the RF bust label, and powers thru as the surprise of the year gets taken out at Martinsville by a Grumpy Old Man. :cool:
Just kidding.
 
Wait, I thought playoff points carry into Homestead. What is the system in the playoffs?
 
I'm going to go 78, 18, 42, and.....I'm struggling with this one......Hmmmmm......Thinking that maybe the 2 is a bit better than the 4. I'll go 2. Once at Homestead, it gets extremely interesting IMO. 78 is not great there, but Cole Pearn is the new Chad. 18 is pretty good there, but I'm not sure that everything is clicking the way I would like to see it. So, 78 and 18 are a push IMO. I don't think that the 2 (or the 4) is flat out fast enough. The 42--if things continue as they have--will be diabolical in Homestead. The dude has the look like he can and will win anywhere. Cool to see really. He is badass. My pick to win it all? Gonna wait until I see how everything evolves in the Playoffs, but right now, I have to go 42. He won with a top 10 car Sunday. It will be interesting to see if Ganassi can get some performance back.
 
^ Rev, if the 42 is still in it at Homestead, he will be my pick there, rim riding to the championship.
 
Why do I feel like the 78 is fragile while the 42 isn't?

Because it's Truex. Up until he finally won at pocono a couple years ago he was (and still is at times) the king of choking.


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78, 48 are locks. After that it's a crapshoot. Don't see Larson there. Gonna say 18 and 2.
 
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