Hurricane Sandy

They're talking about a perfect storm scenario but I suspect that's just the media doing what they do best.
 
Weather guesser says if things go right, or maybe more accurately wrong, this will be a monster Nor'Easter.
Trees still have most of their leaves, heavy rain and high winds will bring a lot of them down. Got plenty of time to secure things outside and will check my little generator is running ok. Welcome to Winter!

bastage
 
#17D500winner said:
They're talking about a perfect storm scenario but I suspect that's just the media doing what they do best.
Click to expand...

Actually, the guys I've been following are upset because the media has been, for the most part, more leaning to this thing going out to sea.
 
SST55 said:
Weather guesser says if things go right, or maybe more accurately wrong, this will be a monster Nor'Easter.
Trees still have most of their leaves, heavy rain and high winds will bring a lot of them down. Got plenty of time to secure things outside and will check my little generator is running ok. Welcome to Winter!

bastage
Click to expand...

Yeah, I should probably fire up my generator as well I guess. I don't know that we'll get this storm but we will get a couple before next spring ;)
 
GFS ensemble models look pretty nasty too, especially for the northeast.

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Don't think that Martinsville will be affected except for temps. Cold front is heading east and the temps will be much colder next week. Sunday is in the middle.
 
Moving the camper Friday, just bought more Generator gasoline today, and secured flyaway's in the backyard. Wouldn't want a lawn chair to end up in Warwick now would we SST?!!!!!
Last October we had a doosie right before Halloween, and I'm glad I moved the camper next to the house. A big tree limb landed right where the camper was parked. And, it is good insurance to fire up the fridge in the camper just in case of a power outage.At least I'll have a beer cooler, while the house fridge has silly stuff in it like food,blah blah blah..
Hopefully it blows out to sea.
 
New England may be doing some serious snow shoveling next week!
 
"Sandy will travel up the coast then hook left hitting anywhere from NJ to Maine, this will be a storm of "epic proportions" with millions without power for up to a week".
Well, thank you Mr smiling weather guesser.:mad:

17dw, we don't shovel rain.:)
 
Ooops, just saw a update. Some areas west of here may get snowfall. Good for them,,,
 
Bryan Norcross was just on Andrea Mitchell Reports and he said this hurricane is "unprecedented" and "the worst case scenario" for the Northeast.
 
Some are saying that there's currently no precedence set for what the computer models are suggesting.

I do know that with the full moon on the 29th and it being this close to the Equinox, there will likely be a very large storm surge.

In any event, try to be prepared the best you can for whatever may happen and if nothing happens, all the better.
 
Looks there like Virginia may even be digging out from under some white stuff next week.
 
Hmm the center appears to be going right over my town in Pa, glad I'm in Vt, where the weather sucks must of the time anyway.
 
From Bryan Norcross' Facebook page.

Bryan Norcross
43 minutes ago



Isn't it strange that a hurricane in the Bahamas would somehow turn into a monster mega-storm and slam into the Northeast at the end of October? Aren't hurricanes supposed to weaken as they move north over cold water? What the hell is going on?

The answers are... yes, yes, and we're not completely sure. This is a beyond-strange situation. It's unprecedented and bizarre. Hurricanes almost always bend out to sea in October, although there have been some exceptions when storms went due north, but rarely. No October tropical systems in the record book have turned left into the northeast coast.

The strong evidence we have that a significant, maybe historic, storm is going to hit the east coast is that EVERY reliable computer forecast model now says it's going to happen. The only way we can forecast the weather four or five days days from now is with the aid of these super-complex computer programs run on supercomputers. The two best, the European and the U.S. GFS (Global Forecast System) run by NOAA, are now in reasonable agreement that there IS going to be an extraordinarily unusual confluence of events that results in a massive storm.

The upper-air steering pattern that is part of the puzzle is not all that unheard of. It happens when the atmosphere gets blocked over the Atlantic and the flow over the U.S. doubles back on itself. Sometimes big winter storms are involved.

The freak part is that a hurricane happens to be in the right place in the world to get sucked into this doubled-back channel of air and pulled inland from the coast.

And the double-freak part is that the upper level wind, instead of weakening the storm and simply absorbing the moisture - which would be annoying enough - is merging with the tropical system to create a monstrous hybrid vortex. A combination of a hurricane and a nor'easter.

At least that's what the models are saying. And since all of the independent models are saying something similar, we have to believe them and be ready.

For most people being ready means getting to the store and getting stuff before everybody else gets wise and gets the stuff first. The forecast is for an incredibly widespread and long-duration windstorm, meaning power will likely be out for an extended period of time in a lot of locations.

A transistor radio is your best friend in a situation like this. Get one and enough batteries to keep it going. Your cell phone may or may not be your friend after a big storm.

For people near the coast, it's critical that you pay attention to local evacuation orders and emergency information. This storm, as forecast, will create dangerous and potentially life-threatening storm surge along hundreds of miles of coastline north of where the center comes ashore. Big storms move a lot of water, and this one is about as big as they come.

Right now, it looks like the storm center will land between the Delmarva and New Jersey, which would put the entire Tri-State area of NJ, NY, and Connecticut on the bad side of the storm. The Jersey Shore, Long Island, and New York City itself would be exposed to the brunt of the storm surge due to the "L" in the coastline at NYC. The angle and duration of the wind will keep the water high for an extended period of time, if this comes together as forecast. This means transportation disruptions and widespread coastal damage.

If the storm comes in farther south, the Delmarva, Delaware Bay and maybe the Chesapeake will be at risk. A storm the size that's forecast would cause problems throughout New England as well, even if the center is south of New York. And then there is the threat from flooding rain and the extremely heavy snow well inland.

To make all this worse along the coast, the moon is full on Monday, meaning the high tides will be higher yet.

The hope we have is that the computer models are not handling this unusual situation well, and are predicting a stronger storm than we get. But, we can't bet of it. Even a weaker version will likely mean a nightmare for millions.
 
Things are not looking any more positive this morning. Of the few remaining models which don't have the storm making landfall on the US East Coast, one has it going over where I live.
 
For those in the path who don't have a generator. Buy a case of bottled water and put it in your freezer. If [when] you lose power start transfering bottles to your fridge section, also put them in a cooler. No water concerns like with melted ice and surprisingly they'll stay frozen up to 3 days in the fridge section, longer in the freezer.
 
WOW! Computer models show hurricane force winds covering the entire State of Maryland at landfall! :eek:

If I was still up there, I would run and hide.
 
I hope all in the path take the proper precautions and take it seriously. Being a Floridian I've rode out many, trust me the worst ones are the ones you don't prepare for. Stay safe guys.
 
I don't like that one model that has the storm path going into my area of Northeast Ohio. But, the local weather people say it will only get colder (we were at 80 degrees yesterday) and we will get a good amoount on rain starting around high school football time today and staying pretty much through all of Saturday. It's supposed to stay mostly in the 40's though and we may get a slight chance of snow around Tuesday.
 
It doesn't sound like it affects me much except for the water we may get in the basement. I have no plans to go anywhere until maybe Sunday. My wife and one daughter will be holed up, safe and sound, in the church with about 260 other girls for their monthly Speepover Sisters program.
 
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