NASCAR 2019 - Bold Prediction Thread

Discussion in 'NASCAR chat' started by pjmolo, Jan 2, 2019.

  1. Turtle84

    Turtle84 Team Owner

    I forgot to clarify "Kyle Busch will not win a Cup race before the playoffs begin."
     
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  2. Charlie Spencer

    Charlie Spencer Short tracks and road courses rule.

    Thanks for playing our game, and we have some lovely parting gifts for you, including a case of Turtle Wax and a lifetime supply of Rice-A-Roni, 'The San Francisco Treat'.
     
  3. Johali

    Johali Team Owner Contributor

    You stole my picture you rat fink. :mad::mad::p
     
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  4. Turtle84

    Turtle84 Team Owner

    I thought the crystal ball wizard was for everyone ;)
     
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  5. pjmolo

    pjmolo Director of driver attitude adjustments . . .

    The deadline for the submittal of this year's BOLD PREDICTIONS has come and gone and before the first race of the season has even started, one prediction (by @LouieLouie) has already been proven to be false.

    2019 Bold Predictions (#1 thru #27).jpg 2019 Bold Predictions (#28 thru #57).jpg
     
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  6. LouieLouie

    LouieLouie Team Owner

    Thought they would give the pole to McMurray like they gave it to others in the past, since it was his last race before retiring. Oh well. Better luck next year.
     
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  7. Turtle84

    Turtle84 Team Owner

    Never a doubt :gulp: :eek:
     
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  8. Larsonfan1995

    Larsonfan1995 Team Owner

    Alright come on Hamlin, need 3 more wins from you this year
     
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  9. pjmolo

    pjmolo Director of driver attitude adjustments . . .

    and so it goes . . . .
     
  10. FLRacingFan

    FLRacingFan Team Owner

  11. SlicedBread22

    SlicedBread22 #TeamJL

    Truex got me a good jump on the JGR average finish part of my prediction lol
     
  12. Elliott_Fan_9

    Elliott_Fan_9 Formerly JJ_14

    All I have to say is welp...
     
    Johali likes this.
  13. NASCAR Apologist

    NASCAR Apologist Crew Chief

    I don't see my prediction.
     
  14. pjmolo

    pjmolo Director of driver attitude adjustments . . .

    @NASCAR Apologist

    My apologies to the consummate apologist for not responding earlier to your prediction that concerns "average TV viewership."

    Essentially, your prediction was determined to be unacceptable as it is considered to be both vague and, even if more specific, something that's not able to be easily verified, at least not by me.

    I predict that you'll have a much better prediction next year. :cool:
     
  15. Larsonfan1995

    Larsonfan1995 Team Owner

    The ratings for every race compared to the year before's race are posted every week in the TV ratings thread. Since the schedule is exactly the same this year, it is easily verifiable with a little math. I think you should let him in but it's not my game, just a player's opinion.
     
  16. pjmolo

    pjmolo Director of driver attitude adjustments . . .

    I see what you're talking about in the NASCAR - Television Rating Thread but the way I take the prediction . . .
    . . . @NASCAR Apologist is somehow looking to compare "average" 2019 season viewership to "average" 2018 season viewership.

    The math that I'm comfortable doing in verifying predictions typically involves counting a particular driver's race wins as opposed to crunching TV viewership numbers over the course of the season.

    Thanks for the input but I'm sticking with the thought that the prediction is both vague and something that's not able to be easily verified.
     
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  17. Team Penske

    Team Penske Team Owner

    "easily" being the control word. I would like to see him do all the math and post his numbers after each and every race to prove his point.
    In the mean time I am comfortable with your decision.
     
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  18. Larsonfan1995

    Larsonfan1995 Team Owner

    I'm ok with his decision too, and he respectfully answered. But since you challenged me to do the math...

    This year's Vegas race got a 3.05 rating according to Showbuzzdaily.com
    Last year's got a 2.89

    The new number (3.05) minus the original number (2.89) = .16

    Divide that by the original number (2.89) to get .055

    Multiply by 100 to get a 5.5% increase

    Took 90 seconds with a calculator, if that.

    And to get the overall increase for the year, add up all the differences and divide by 36...
     
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  19. Turtle84

    Turtle84 Team Owner

    [​IMG]
     
  20. Team Penske

    Team Penske Team Owner

    That's great, keep going. My method isn't as fast. I write out my requested information then the dog takes it to town and I get the information back when the dog decides to come home. Some times she looses the note when the wolves chase her.
    Glad we all decided to let pjmolo make the decisions.
    Have a fantastic day.
     
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  21. Charlie Spencer

    Charlie Spencer Short tracks and road courses rule.

    The math is the easy part; three minutes in Excel and done for the season. To me, the PITA would be digging out and entering the ratings numbers every week.
     
  22. Team Penske

    Team Penske Team Owner

    That's why I suggested he could post his own spread sheet to verify his prediction
    each and every week.
     
  23. Johali

    Johali Team Owner Contributor

    And who would double check the checker? :D
     
  24. Charlie Spencer

    Charlie Spencer Short tracks and road courses rule.

    Yep, too complicated. Too much like work.
     
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  25. Turtle84

    Turtle84 Team Owner

    4 races! A little too BOLD.
     
  26. pjmolo

    pjmolo Director of driver attitude adjustments . . .

  27. Joker

    Joker #1 Harvick Fan

    I know it's early, but I'm probably going oh-fer on my predictions...
     
  28. NASCAR Apologist

    NASCAR Apologist Crew Chief

    Well whether it's official or not, I will be CORRECT! And I will make sure you all know it.
     
    Larsonfan1995 likes this.
  29. pjmolo

    pjmolo Director of driver attitude adjustments . . .

  30. Charlie Spencer

    Charlie Spencer Short tracks and road courses rule.

    Thanks for the quarter-season update!
     
  31. Larsonfan1995

    Larsonfan1995 Team Owner

    I'm out, but not surprised at all.
     
  32. pjmolo

    pjmolo Director of driver attitude adjustments . . .

    [​IMG]
     
  33. Charlie Spencer

    Charlie Spencer Short tracks and road courses rule.

    If you're asking for opinions (which I doubt but I'm gonna give anyway), I'd say Allenbaba's is still unfulfilled. Delayed until Monday isn't delayed until 'some other time later in the schedule'. Right now, Dover will still be the 11th race on the schedule.

    On the other hand, BJK's depends on how you interpret the word 'bumped'. I'd say this qualifies, but I wouldn't worry about it much until at least one of his other two happens. If Shrub doesn't make the final four, rain delays are moot.
     
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  34. Turtle84

    Turtle84 Team Owner

    Did I say Kyle Busch? I meant Kyle Larson.
     
  35. Allenbaba

    Allenbaba Team Owner

    Correct about my prediction/intention. Dover does not fulfill it. Saying that a Cup race will be run a day later because of rain isn't a very "bold" prediction. My bold prediction is that rain will force a Cup race to a different weekend (or not happen at all). Total washout.

    And an Edit to add: rain = weather. Hurricane, tropical storms, fog etc. I probably should have phrased it "weather" to avoid the nitpicking and technicalities.
     
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  36. Snappy D

    Snappy D 2017 Pick Em Champion 2018 Bold Predictor

    I hate to do this but I'll do it anyway.... since its the same old here on this board with attendance debates and areo package debates I have to ask.... anything in the 2020 silly season pipeline yet in terms of driver movement? We havent heard anything yet, even Twitter is quite.
     
  37. Allenbaba

    Allenbaba Team Owner

    Well, if you're just looking for something to kick around and have fun with, I have a feeling based on whispers & opinions (meaning gossip: nothing factual, nothing in motion) that the "catalyst" of next year's Silly Season could be the 88 (just like one of the big catalysts last season was the 78). If they decide to replace Bowman (big if), I think they will most likely throw money at a more seasoned replacement to try and get that program back on track which could potentially lead to some dominoes. Or, they could throw money at a very proven youngster like Bell, which might trigger events at JGR to keep him, also more dominoes. So if you're looking to discuss/debate/predict etc, I would start with the 88, and the series of events that might happen should they decide to replace Bowman (again, important to stress, I have no knowledge of any changes being made to the 88 other than people talking about how badly things need to change there, which, I think would be fairly obvious to any casual observer).

    Obviously I guess you could also start with where Bell goes, but I could see a situation where Toyota tries to strengthen Leavine for him or Jones or Hamlin or something, or convert another team for another seat or two. I think that will likely all take care of itself. Starting with the 88 seems like more fun.

    Will also be interesting to see what happens at SHR if Custer keeps racing the way he's been racing. Though I could see Harvick doing one more season next year before being replaced by him.
     
  38. Snappy D

    Snappy D 2017 Pick Em Champion 2018 Bold Predictor

    thanks! didnt want to hijack this thread just wanted to read something other than whats usually been debated around here. Thanks again.
     
  39. acmerocket

    acmerocket Team Owner

    well there one win for larson and byron won before jimmy
     
  40. pjmolo

    pjmolo Director of driver attitude adjustments . . .

    Refresh my memory about Byron's win.

    Also, I didn't know that your Larson prediction was meant to include exhibition races.

    If so, Larson won both the All-Star Open race and the All-Star race.
     

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