NASCAR 2019 - Bold Prediction Thread

I forgot to clarify "Kyle Busch will not win a Cup race before the playoffs begin."
 
Turtle84 said:
Based on my extensive crystal ball research for the "pick the winner of every race" game, I have discovered that Kyle Busch will not win a race until the playoffs begin.

Please wipe out all of my previous predictions, and replace with "Kyle Busch will not win a race before the playoffs begin".

upload_2019-2-3_11-36-35-jpeg.38931
Click to expand...
You stole my picture you rat fink. :mad::mad::p
 
The deadline for the submittal of this year's BOLD PREDICTIONS has come and gone and before the first race of the season has even started, one prediction (by @LouieLouie) has already been proven to be false.

LouieLouie said:
Jamie McMurray gets the pole for the Daytona 500.
Click to expand...

Charlie Spencer said:
Thanks for playing our game, and we have some lovely parting gifts for you, including a case of Turtle Wax and a lifetime supply of Rice-A-Roni, 'The San Francisco Treat'.
Click to expand...

2019 Bold Predictions (#1 thru #27).jpg
2019 Bold Predictions (#28 thru #57).jpg
 
Thought they would give the pole to McMurray like they gave it to others in the past, since it was his last race before retiring. Oh well. Better luck next year.
 
pjmolo said:
Predictions must be specific and something that can be easily verified..
Click to expand...

NASCAR Apologist said:
Average TV viewership for the season will go up at least 5%
Click to expand...

NASCAR Apologist said:
I don't see my prediction.
Click to expand...

@NASCAR Apologist

My apologies to the consummate apologist for not responding earlier to your prediction that concerns "average TV viewership."

Essentially, your prediction was determined to be unacceptable as it is considered to be both vague and, even if more specific, something that's not able to be easily verified, at least not by me.

I predict that you'll have a much better prediction next year. :cool:
 
pjmolo said:
@NASCAR Apologist

My apologies to the consummate apologist for not responding earlier to your prediction that concerns "average TV viewership."

Essentially, your prediction was determined to be unacceptable as it is considered to be both vague and, even if more specific, something that's not able to be easily verified, at least not by me.

I predict that you'll have a much better prediction next year. :cool:
Click to expand...
The ratings for every race compared to the year before's race are posted every week in the TV ratings thread. Since the schedule is exactly the same this year, it is easily verifiable with a little math. I think you should let him in but it's not my game, just a player's opinion.
 
Larsonfan1995 said:
The ratings for every race compared to the year before's race are posted every week in the TV ratings thread. Since the schedule is exactly the same this year, it is easily verifiable with a little math. I think you should let him in but it's not my game, just a player's opinion.
Click to expand...

I see what you're talking about in the NASCAR - Television Rating Thread but the way I take the prediction . . .
NASCAR Apologist said:
Average TV viewership for the season will go up at least 5%
Click to expand...

. . . @NASCAR Apologist is somehow looking to compare "average" 2019 season viewership to "average" 2018 season viewership.

The math that I'm comfortable doing in verifying predictions typically involves counting a particular driver's race wins as opposed to crunching TV viewership numbers over the course of the season.

Thanks for the input but I'm sticking with the thought that the prediction is both vague and something that's not able to be easily verified.
 
pjmolo said:
Thanks for the input but I'm sticking with the thought that the prediction is both vague and something that's not able to be easily verified.
Click to expand...
"easily" being the control word. I would like to see him do all the math and post his numbers after each and every race to prove his point.
In the mean time I am comfortable with your decision.
 
Team Penske said:
"easily" being the control word. I would like to see him do all the math and post his numbers after each and every race to prove his point.
In the mean time I am comfortable with your decision.
Click to expand...
I'm ok with his decision too, and he respectfully answered. But since you challenged me to do the math...

This year's Vegas race got a 3.05 rating according to Showbuzzdaily.com
Last year's got a 2.89

The new number (3.05) minus the original number (2.89) = .16

Divide that by the original number (2.89) to get .055

Multiply by 100 to get a 5.5% increase

Took 90 seconds with a calculator, if that.

And to get the overall increase for the year, add up all the differences and divide by 36...
 
Larsonfan1995 said:
I'm ok with his decision too, and he respectfully answered. But since you challenged me to do the math...

This year's Vegas race got a 3.05 rating according to Showbuzzdaily.com
Last year's got a 2.89

The new number (3.05) minus the original number (2.89) = .16

Divide that by the original number (2.89) to get .055

Multiply by 100 to get a 5.5% increase

Took 90 seconds with a calculator, if that.

And to get the overall increase for the year, add up all the differences and divide by 36...
Click to expand...

V8qR.gif
 
Larsonfan1995 said:
I'm ok with his decision too, and he respectfully answered. But since you challenged me to do the math...

This year's Vegas race got a 3.05 rating according to Showbuzzdaily.com
Last year's got a 2.89

The new number (3.05) minus the original number (2.89) = .16

Divide that by the original number (2.89) to get .055

Multiply by 100 to get a 5.5% increase

Took 90 seconds with a calculator, if that.

And to get the overall increase for the year, add up all the differences and divide by 36...
Click to expand...
That's great, keep going. My method isn't as fast. I write out my requested information then the dog takes it to town and I get the information back when the dog decides to come home. Some times she looses the note when the wolves chase her.
Glad we all decided to let pjmolo make the decisions.
Have a fantastic day.
 
The math is the easy part; three minutes in Excel and done for the season. To me, the PITA would be digging out and entering the ratings numbers every week.
 
Charlie Spencer said:
The math is the easy part; three minutes in Excel and done for the season. To me, the PITA would be digging out and entering the ratings numbers every week.
Click to expand...
That's why I suggested he could post his own spread sheet to verify his prediction
each and every week.
 
I know it's early, but I'm probably going oh-fer on my predictions...
 
pjmolo said:
hmm.gif
Click to expand...
If you're asking for opinions (which I doubt but I'm gonna give anyway), I'd say Allenbaba's is still unfulfilled. Delayed until Monday isn't delayed until 'some other time later in the schedule'. Right now, Dover will still be the 11th race on the schedule.

On the other hand, BJK's depends on how you interpret the word 'bumped'. I'd say this qualifies, but I wouldn't worry about it much until at least one of his other two happens. If Shrub doesn't make the final four, rain delays are moot.
 
Charlie Spencer said:
If you're asking for opinions (which I doubt but I'm gonna give anyway), I'd say Allenbaba's is still unfulfilled. Delayed until Monday isn't delayed until 'some other time later in the schedule'. Right now, Dover will still be the 11th race on the schedule.

On the other hand, BJK's depends on how you interpret the word 'bumped'. I'd say this qualifies, but I wouldn't worry about it much until at least one of his other two happens. If Shrub doesn't make the final four, rain delays are moot.
Click to expand...
Correct about my prediction/intention. Dover does not fulfill it. Saying that a Cup race will be run a day later because of rain isn't a very "bold" prediction. My bold prediction is that rain will force a Cup race to a different weekend (or not happen at all). Total washout.

And an Edit to add: rain = weather. Hurricane, tropical storms, fog etc. I probably should have phrased it "weather" to avoid the nitpicking and technicalities.
 
Allenbaba said:
Correct about my prediction/intention. Dover does not fulfill it. Saying that a Cup race will be run a day later because of rain isn't a very "bold" prediction. My bold prediction is that rain will force a Cup race to a different weekend (or not happen at all). Total washout.

And an Edit to add: rain = weather. Hurricane, tropical storms, fog etc. I probably should have phrased it "weather" to avoid the nitpicking and technicalities.
Click to expand...
I hate to do this but I'll do it anyway.... since its the same old here on this board with attendance debates and areo package debates I have to ask.... anything in the 2020 silly season pipeline yet in terms of driver movement? We havent heard anything yet, even Twitter is quite.
 
Snappy D said:
I hate to do this but I'll do it anyway.... since its the same old here on this board with attendance debates and areo package debates I have to ask.... anything in the 2020 silly season pipeline yet in terms of driver movement? We havent heard anything yet, even Twitter is quite.
Click to expand...
Well, if you're just looking for something to kick around and have fun with, I have a feeling based on whispers & opinions (meaning gossip: nothing factual, nothing in motion) that the "catalyst" of next year's Silly Season could be the 88 (just like one of the big catalysts last season was the 78). If they decide to replace Bowman (big if), I think they will most likely throw money at a more seasoned replacement to try and get that program back on track which could potentially lead to some dominoes. Or, they could throw money at a very proven youngster like Bell, which might trigger events at JGR to keep him, also more dominoes. So if you're looking to discuss/debate/predict etc, I would start with the 88, and the series of events that might happen should they decide to replace Bowman (again, important to stress, I have no knowledge of any changes being made to the 88 other than people talking about how badly things need to change there, which, I think would be fairly obvious to any casual observer).

Obviously I guess you could also start with where Bell goes, but I could see a situation where Toyota tries to strengthen Leavine for him or Jones or Hamlin or something, or convert another team for another seat or two. I think that will likely all take care of itself. Starting with the 88 seems like more fun.

Will also be interesting to see what happens at SHR if Custer keeps racing the way he's been racing. Though I could see Harvick doing one more season next year before being replaced by him.
 
Allenbaba said:
Well, if you're just looking for something to kick around and have fun with, I have a feeling based on whispers & opinions (meaning gossip: nothing factual, nothing in motion) that the "catalyst" of next year's Silly Season could be the 88 (just like one of the big catalysts last season was the 78). If they decide to replace Bowman (big if), I think they will most likely throw money at a more seasoned replacement to try and get that program back on track which could potentially lead to some dominoes. Or, they could throw money at a very proven youngster like Bell, which might trigger events at JGR to keep him, also more dominoes. So if you're looking to discuss/debate/predict etc, I would start with the 88, and the series of events that might happen should they decide to replace Bowman (again, important to stress, I have no knowledge of any changes being made to the 88 other than people talking about how badly things need to change there, which, I think would be fairly obvious to any casual observer).

Obviously I guess you could also start with where Bell goes, but I could see a situation where Toyota tries to strengthen Leavine for him or Jones or Hamlin or something, or convert another team for another seat or two. I think that will likely all take care of itself. Starting with the 88 seems like more fun.

Will also be interesting to see what happens at SHR if Custer keeps racing the way he's been racing. Though I could see Harvick doing one more season next year before being replaced by him.
Click to expand...
thanks! didnt want to hijack this thread just wanted to read something other than whats usually been debated around here. Thanks again.
 
acmerocket said:
my 2nd bold prediction is chad and byron will win more races than johnson.
3rd larson will have a great year with more 5 or more wins
Click to expand...

acmerocket said:
well there one win for larson and byron won before jimmy
Click to expand...

Refresh my memory about Byron's win.

Also, I didn't know that your Larson prediction was meant to include exhibition races.

If so, Larson won both the All-Star Open race and the All-Star race.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top Bottom