Discussion in 'NASCAR chat' started by pjmolo, Jan 2, 2019.
I forgot to clarify "Kyle Busch will not win a Cup race before the playoffs begin."
Thanks for playing our game, and we have some lovely parting gifts for you, including a case of Turtle Wax and a lifetime supply of Rice-A-Roni, 'The San Francisco Treat'.
You stole my picture you rat fink.
I thought the crystal ball wizard was for everyone
The deadline for the submittal of this year's BOLD PREDICTIONS has come and gone and before the first race of the season has even started, one prediction (by @LouieLouie) has already been proven to be false.
Thought they would give the pole to McMurray like they gave it to others in the past, since it was his last race before retiring. Oh well. Better luck next year.
Never a doubt :gulp:
Alright come on Hamlin, need 3 more wins from you this year
and so it goes . . . .
13 to go...
Truex got me a good jump on the JGR average finish part of my prediction lol
All I have to say is welp...
I don't see my prediction.
My apologies to the consummate apologist for not responding earlier to your prediction that concerns "average TV viewership."
Essentially, your prediction was determined to be unacceptable as it is considered to be both vague and, even if more specific, something that's not able to be easily verified, at least not by me.
I predict that you'll have a much better prediction next year.
The ratings for every race compared to the year before's race are posted every week in the TV ratings thread. Since the schedule is exactly the same this year, it is easily verifiable with a little math. I think you should let him in but it's not my game, just a player's opinion.
I see what you're talking about in the NASCAR - Television Rating Thread but the way I take the prediction . . .
. . . @NASCAR Apologist is somehow looking to compare "average" 2019 season viewership to "average" 2018 season viewership.
The math that I'm comfortable doing in verifying predictions typically involves counting a particular driver's race wins as opposed to crunching TV viewership numbers over the course of the season.
Thanks for the input but I'm sticking with the thought that the prediction is both vague and something that's not able to be easily verified.
"easily" being the control word. I would like to see him do all the math and post his numbers after each and every race to prove his point.
In the mean time I am comfortable with your decision.
I'm ok with his decision too, and he respectfully answered. But since you challenged me to do the math...
This year's Vegas race got a 3.05 rating according to Showbuzzdaily.com
Last year's got a 2.89
The new number (3.05) minus the original number (2.89) = .16
Divide that by the original number (2.89) to get .055
Multiply by 100 to get a 5.5% increase
Took 90 seconds with a calculator, if that.
And to get the overall increase for the year, add up all the differences and divide by 36...
That's great, keep going. My method isn't as fast. I write out my requested information then the dog takes it to town and I get the information back when the dog decides to come home. Some times she looses the note when the wolves chase her.
Glad we all decided to let pjmolo make the decisions.
Have a fantastic day.
The math is the easy part; three minutes in Excel and done for the season. To me, the PITA would be digging out and entering the ratings numbers every week.
That's why I suggested he could post his own spread sheet to verify his prediction
each and every week.
And who would double check the checker?
Yep, too complicated. Too much like work.
4 races! A little too BOLD.
I know it's early, but I'm probably going oh-fer on my predictions...
Well whether it's official or not, I will be CORRECT! And I will make sure you all know it.
Thanks for the quarter-season update!
I'm out, but not surprised at all.
If you're asking for opinions (which I doubt but I'm gonna give anyway), I'd say Allenbaba's is still unfulfilled. Delayed until Monday isn't delayed until 'some other time later in the schedule'. Right now, Dover will still be the 11th race on the schedule.
On the other hand, BJK's depends on how you interpret the word 'bumped'. I'd say this qualifies, but I wouldn't worry about it much until at least one of his other two happens. If Shrub doesn't make the final four, rain delays are moot.
Did I say Kyle Busch? I meant Kyle Larson.
Correct about my prediction/intention. Dover does not fulfill it. Saying that a Cup race will be run a day later because of rain isn't a very "bold" prediction. My bold prediction is that rain will force a Cup race to a different weekend (or not happen at all). Total washout.
And an Edit to add: rain = weather. Hurricane, tropical storms, fog etc. I probably should have phrased it "weather" to avoid the nitpicking and technicalities.
I hate to do this but I'll do it anyway.... since its the same old here on this board with attendance debates and areo package debates I have to ask.... anything in the 2020 silly season pipeline yet in terms of driver movement? We havent heard anything yet, even Twitter is quite.
Well, if you're just looking for something to kick around and have fun with, I have a feeling based on whispers & opinions (meaning gossip: nothing factual, nothing in motion) that the "catalyst" of next year's Silly Season could be the 88 (just like one of the big catalysts last season was the 78). If they decide to replace Bowman (big if), I think they will most likely throw money at a more seasoned replacement to try and get that program back on track which could potentially lead to some dominoes. Or, they could throw money at a very proven youngster like Bell, which might trigger events at JGR to keep him, also more dominoes. So if you're looking to discuss/debate/predict etc, I would start with the 88, and the series of events that might happen should they decide to replace Bowman (again, important to stress, I have no knowledge of any changes being made to the 88 other than people talking about how badly things need to change there, which, I think would be fairly obvious to any casual observer).
Obviously I guess you could also start with where Bell goes, but I could see a situation where Toyota tries to strengthen Leavine for him or Jones or Hamlin or something, or convert another team for another seat or two. I think that will likely all take care of itself. Starting with the 88 seems like more fun.
Will also be interesting to see what happens at SHR if Custer keeps racing the way he's been racing. Though I could see Harvick doing one more season next year before being replaced by him.
thanks! didnt want to hijack this thread just wanted to read something other than whats usually been debated around here. Thanks again.
well there one win for larson and byron won before jimmy
Refresh my memory about Byron's win.
Also, I didn't know that your Larson prediction was meant to include exhibition races.
If so, Larson won both the All-Star Open race and the All-Star race.
Separate names with a comma.