2026 Weather

They've backed off this storm almost entirely here. Looks like a little bit of rain on the coast. Forecast now calling for temperatures to be 20-30 degrees warmer than they've been showing.

HOWEVER ... my experience with coastal weather is that the forecast on Monday tends to win out.
 
I think the "all rain" scenario at the coast is the scenario that sets up a historic ice storm for most of North Carolina.

Warm temperatures from the ocean and the coast mix in to create freezing rain.

It's better than an ice storm, but I hate a 38 degree, rainy day.
 
KTMLew01 said:
I'm thinking Bermuda. Looks like gonna be cold clear down to mid Florida. Then week after maybe get even colder!
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Eh, I just need to get far enough south that the local roads don't freeze. Our neighborhood had privately maintained roads, so the state isn't going to salt or scrape them. There's one lightly-traveled road out of the local area that crosses a bridge over a salt marsh, and it's not going to be a priority to get scraped. If there's any frozen accumulation, we're not getting out of the neighborhood and it's five or six frozen miles to the nearest resource, a convenience store. And if we lose electricity...

I have a room booked in Charleston I cancel as late as Friday night. Hampton Inn accepts dogs for an additional $75 for up to four nights. If necessary, we'll bring all the plants from the garage into the house Saturday morning, load up the Twin Terrible Terriers (tm), and head south. I'd rather spend 2 or 3 rainy days stuck in a hotel room babysitting the mutts (but be able to get to the grocery and several restaurants in the same parking lot) than take the chance of being stuck here with no power and no way out.

If we do go to the hotel Saturday, we have to be there before 2:00 when the Rolex starts. After all, there are priorities!!!

EDIT - the local forecast has reduced the chance of freezing rain. Hopefully we'll be able to cancel that reservation.
 
I was kinda looking forward to the 20" of snow they said we were getting. That's actually easier & less dangerous than any amount of freezing rain. Will be parking my truck over in the field out of tall pine tree reach where everyone else parks when there is chance of falling trees. Looks like gonna be rough for next week here.
 
Best way to deal with that pending weather is to just stay home. No need to travel anywhere putting yourself and others at risk. Any ice or snow won't last long down south. Power outages should be of most concern. A small generator, extension cord and some fuel can run a little heater and keep the fridge/freezer food just fine for days.

The kind of weather being predicted for the south is an every week occurrence to your neighbors to the north and yet somehow they survive. You'll make it people.
 
dpkimmel2001 said:
The kind of weather being predicted for the south is an every week occurrence to your neighbors to the north and yet somehow they survive.
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Northern states have the resources to deal with these conditions. It's not worth having dedicated equipment for something that only happens every two or three years, either personally or at the state level.

But if I leave, it will be before it gets bad, just as I do for hurricanes. I have the resources to relocate to better conditions and see no reason I shouldn't.
 
Charlie Spencer said:
Northern states have the resources to deal with these conditions. It's not worth having dedicated equipment for something that only happens every two or three years, either personally or at the state level.

But if I leave, it will be before it gets bad, just as I do for hurricanes. I have the resources to relocate to better conditions and see no reason I shouldn't.
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For the people that are there during the storm. That's why I said to stay home, because of the roads and their icy conditions. Because you don't have the resources and the experience of navigating those conditions. There's no need to travel in that. The good thing is that snow and ice both naturally melt, most times quickly so the wintery conditions won't last long.

Every region deals with this kind of weather differently. I live in western PA. Temps in my region normally allow for salt to help with the ice. Further to the north, salt is ineffective. Once the temps get down to around 15-20, salt no longer helps.

Go a little further north, they have to let the ice run it's course naturally. I run back and forth between New Jersey and the Edmonton/Fort McMurray region of Western Canada much of the time. Ice and snow is the everyday norm December into late February early March for those people up there. They're smart enough to stay home during the most extreme weather conditions. The roads up north are littered with vehicles of those that disregard the conditions.
 
dpkimmel2001 said:
dpkimmel2001 said:
For the people that are there during the storm. That's why I said to stay home, because of the roads and their icy conditions. Because you don't have the resources and the experience of navigating those conditions. There's no need to travel in that.
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Oh, I agree completely, and hunkered down many times back when I was still working and on the 'Essential' list. I know I don't have the experience.
 
I am not the conspiracy type but if I were it would be to connect the weather forecasters with the stores. The grocery store was packed earlier today with long lines, crews were restocking the shelves and they were still out of whole milk and a few other things.

The hardware store was almost out of generators with only some display models.Things like extension cords were sold out too.

We will be okay for the most part. I have propane heaters and a propane camping stove plus another closed in place to use the little stove that isn't a part of the normal living space.

We do quick three or four minute showers when the power is out to conserve the hot water and they almost always get it back on before we loose all of the hot water.

I also have a big 4 wheel drive silverado that has AC outlets to charge the phones etc. I can even get to my brothers house and bring him here to ensure he has a warm place and hot meals.

I might buy a generator in the spring after things calm down. I would want to do that in a non rushed deal in order to safely wire it to the breaker or create a seperate dedicated one. I just do not want to mess that, sometimes we go three or four years without an outage. I would have to run the thing more often just to cycle the fluids and power etc to keep everything in working order when needed.
 
Greg said:
I am not the conspiracy type but if I were it would be to connect the weather forecasters with the stores. The grocery store was packed earlier today with long lines, crews were restocking the shelves and they were still out of whole milk and a few other things.

The hardware store was almost out of generators with only some display models.Things like extension cords were sold out too.

We will be okay for the most part. I have propane heaters and a propane camping stove plus another closed in place to use the little stove that isn't a part of the normal living space.

We do quick three or four minute showers when the power is out to conserve the hot water and they almost always get it back on before we loose all of the hot water.

I also have a big 4 wheel drive silverado that has AC outlets to charge the phones etc. I can even get to my brothers house and bring him here to ensure he has a warm place and hot meals.

I might buy a generator in the spring after things calm down. I would want to do that in a non rushed deal in order to safely wire it to the breaker or create a seperate dedicated one. I just do not want to mess that, sometimes we go three or four years without an outage. I would have to run the thing more often just to cycle the fluids and power etc to keep everything in working order when needed.
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This is still going to be a bad storm for most of the Carolinas.

Where me and @Charlie Spencer are at, we're likely going to luck out because of our proximity to the Atlantic Ocean.
 
HoneyBadger said:
Where me and @Charlie Spencer are at, we're likely going to luck out because of our proximity to the Atlantic Ocean.
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I'm barely 1000 feet off a wide tidal estuary and maybe two miles north of the Atlantic coast.

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HoneyBadger said:
This is still going to be a bad storm for most of the Carolinas.

Where me and @Charlie Spencer are at, we're likely going to luck out because of our proximity to the Atlantic Ocean.
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Chrrently things will freeze here in Greenville from Saturday night through sometime Monday afternoon with 95% precipitation.

My biggest current concern is with loosing power and the TV playoffs on Sunday.
 
I work retail, and retail managers are expected to try convincing their employees that it’s worth the risk to try driving in dangerous weather conditions just so we can keep the store open for the customers silly enough to get out and come shopping. People these days don’t know how to prepare ahead of time. They’ve been talking about the storm for a week, but there’s still gonna be people without things they need.
 
Brentford said:
People these days don’t know how to prepare ahead of time.
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I've wondered about that for a few years. It seems reliance on 'on demand' services, navigation utilities, immediate communications, and other technology tools have reduced the need to plan ahead. There are advantages to that but it seems to me not needing to plan ahead is resulting in an inability to plan ahead when needed or when those tools aren't available.

Would someone help the short guy down off his soapbox, please? I probably should have had some steps available...
 
Brentford said:
I work retail, and retail managers are expected to try convincing their employees that it’s worth the risk to try driving in dangerous weather conditions just so we can keep the store open for the customers silly enough to get out and come shopping. People these days don’t know how to prepare ahead of time. They’ve been talking about the storm for a week, but there’s still gonna be people without things they need.
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Business owners and managers, especially in retail, are so fixated on business that they have ZERO common sense.

One of the worst things ever was when a manager expected me to drive, "walk if necessary", to work in a generational blizzard with 65 mph winds and 72 inches of snow. He kept going on about how the store was open and business continues no matter what as if the store being open and businesses going on changed the fact that it was literally impossible to commute.

I'm not risking my life, literally, for $58 before tax.

Another time, when I worked IT for the county, there was an ice storm and the roads were all closed and schools and everything were closed. They called essential personnel in and even said we could not call out. I called my boss and said, "So it's unsafe for school buses to be on the road, it's unsafe for emergency vehicles to be on the road, and it's even unsafe for county vehicles with snow tires to be on the road, but it's perfectly safe for me to drive my Pontiac G5 to work?"
 
The half-dozen weather gurus I watch have pretty much all thrown their hands in the air over what's gonna happen after the storm crosses the mountains. I suggested they should have a fairly accurate idea of what happens couple days AFTER it happens. Seems I'm fully shifting into that grumpy old man that doesn't believe much of anything.

Except that the MAGA folks are in a cult. THAT I'll take to my grave.
 
HoneyBadger said:
Another time, when I worked IT for the county, there was an ice storm and the roads were all closed and schools and everything were closed. They called essential personnel in ...
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Fortunately, I worked IT in manufacturing. A mixed-precipitation storm barely started one afternoon and the plant manager sent everyone home an hour early. Essential people were to report an hour late so we'd have daylight, and everyone else =if safely possible=. The roads had half-cleared and I was able to keep at least two tires on asphalt. I got close to the plant with no problem (other than Hardee's not being open :( ) in about twice my usual 30 minutes.

The few hundred feet of road from the main highway to the plant lot had some crunchy stuff but could be navigated with some care. I happened to be the first person to arrive, a small moral victory I planned to rub in the boss's face. I turned right into the parking lot and immediately right again toward my usual parking space. The Hyundai's back end came around like a hoochie-koochie dancer but fortunately hit nothing before sliding to a stop. There was at least 1/4-inch of ice coating the lot. The plant safety manager showed up about two minutes later, turned in, and did a nice 270-degree spin before winding up against the curb. As second-in-command, he immediately put me to work: "Walk back to main highway and tell anyone else to go home."
 
The local NWS forecast has dropped any mention of frozen precip this morning. There are no winter watches or warning for the coastal counties, only a Hazardous Weather Statement for the sub-20F temps from several nights starting Monday. It's starting to look manageable here on the NC coast. I have until midnight to cancel that Charleston hotel reservation but it looks like we won't use it.
 
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