No he isn't. Hendrick always spends the summer testing setups for the playoffs. Dale Jr even talked about it on his podcast recently, that teams are holding their good stuff til the playoffs start because they don't want their gray-area parts being noticed or taken by NASCAR before things really start to count. That 5 is going to be right back to the front this fall.
Taking my bias out, I both agree and disagree.
Winning championships, and dominating seasons includes some luck. The universe is balancing itself. Blowing the motor with the best car in the field at Darlington, and Briscoe causing a caution in the 600 are things that 5 team wouldn't have experienced last year.
That said, in trouble? In trouble in what regard? Are we expecting him to win a championship again this year? Is that the global consensus? I mean, there's only been TWO back to back champions in the last 35 years of cup racing, and they're two of the GOATS of the sport who were superior talents and winners to Larson. So unless we are holding him to that high of a standard, I don't think it's fair to say he's in trouble if he's not looking like he's in form to repeat, as that is something reserved for the GOATs of the sport. But let's say that is the standard to judge him based on last year...
Better yet, let's just judge on an individual season basis: Do they look like a team that can win a championship this year, at this point in the season? Top 5 in points, top 4 driver rating, leads the series in passes vs being passed...despite the hiccups, they may be close. However, as of today, I wouldn't bet on it. There are things they need to clean up. Larson needs to be a bit more patient, the team needs to make better race calling decisions, and the cars are missing just a little something in traffic. So no, they aren't in championship form, and if his entire career is made on him repeating as champion this year, yes, I agree. He's in trouble.
That said, if he finishes the season with something like 3/4 wins, 16 top 5s, 22 top 10s, and a 4th or 5th in points....is that REALLY that bad of a year following up a dominant championship run?
TLDR: Larson isn't catching the lucky breaks they caught last year. Driver and the team as a whole still have some cleaning up to do if they want to repeat as champions, and Larson is in trouble if the expectation is a second championship defines his talents or career. However, if we consider that to be an unfair expectation, a top 5 in points with a few wins, something he is on pace for, and I am expecting, isn't something that should be considered a failure.
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